AEST

Betting & odds

Long Shot

A long shot is a runner priced well out in the market, typically double-figure odds, that the betting public gives little chance. Long shots win less often than their prices imply across the market as a whole — the favourite-longshot bias means punters systematically overbet them — so backing them indiscriminately loses faster than backing favourites. The exception is a longshot with a specific, identifiable reason the market has it wrong.

In use

A $41 chance winning turns a small each-way bet into a significant collect.

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