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Victoria Horse Racing Analysis (VIC)

Every Victoria thoroughbred race read on 391 inputs per runner, with 4 checks run against each favourite. Free board at Flemington and Caulfield and every other VIC meeting — no card.

Today's Analysis — Victoria

Full racecards →

Victoria Horse Racing Overview

Victoria is Australia's heartland of thoroughbred racing, home to the Melbourne Cup, Cox Plate, and the world-famous Melbourne Spring Carnival. The state's four metropolitan tracks — Flemington, Caulfield, Moonee Valley, and Sandown — host some of the richest and most prestigious races in the southern hemisphere.

Top VIC Racecourses

  • Flemington
  • Caulfield
  • Moonee Valley
  • Sandown

Major Meetings

  • Melbourne Cup Carnival (Nov)
  • Caulfield Cup (Oct)
  • Cox Plate (Oct)
  • Australian Cup (Mar)

How FormRace's Model Works for Victoria Racing

FormRace's XGBoost model analyses 391 features per runner — form lines, weight, barrier draw, track and distance aptitude, jockey and trainer win rates, and real-time market odds — to rank every runner in every Victoria race by win probability. The model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations per race to identify model-edge signals where internal probability materially differs from market pricing.

391
Features per runner
31.1%
Top pick wins (fav 34.7%)
15,048
Races backtested

Nov 2025 – Jul 2026 walk-forward test — the model trails the market favourite by 3.6 points and we publish it. Full performance data →

Frequently Asked Questions

How do I get model-based horse racing analysis for Victoria?

A free account opens full form, sectionals and speed maps at Flemington and Caulfield and every other Victoria meeting. Pro ($49/month) adds per-runner probabilities, fair prices and market movers year-round.

Which Victoria racecourses does FormRace cover?

FormRace covers all Victoria thoroughbred meetings including Flemington, Caulfield, Moonee Valley, Sandown. Model ratings are generated for every flat race meeting throughout the year.

When are Victoria race analysis published?

Analysis are published as soon as final fields are declared — typically the morning of race day. Model ratings refresh through racing hours as live odds move and same-day results land.

Related Guides for VIC Racing analysts

Business Compliance

FormRace is subscription racing-intelligence software for analytics, model ratings, and educational research. We do not accept wagers, process wagering transactions, hold customer gambling balances, operate a sportsbook, or act as a gambling intermediary.

Business compliance summary →

See today’s VIC intelligence board free

Start free with full form, sectionals and speed maps at Flemington and Caulfield and every other Victoria meeting. Upgrade when you want per-runner probabilities, fair prices and live market movers.

Free gives you the first edge. Pro scales it across the full week.