Moonee Valley Intelligence Today — 19 August 2026
The full Moonee Valley card for Wednesday, 19 August 2026 has been read end to end — speed ratings, recent form, track condition, trainer and jockey records, and the way the market has moved since it opened.
Every runner is scored on 391 inputs: last-start times, distance and track suitability, weight and barrier, and current price. Where the model's probability and the market's disagree, that race is worth a second look — and every favourite runs 4 checks before we call it.
About Moonee Valley Racecourse
Moonee Valley Racecourse is a tight left-handed circuit in Melbourne's inner north-west. The 1729m circumference and notoriously short straight of just 175m makes it one of Australia's most unique tracks. Horses that can handle tight turns dominate — barrier draws are critical at this venue. Home of the Cox Plate, one of the world's great weight-for-age races.
How the model reads Moonee Valley
Each runner at Moonee Valley is assessed on recent form, sectional speed, track and distance record, weight and barrier, and live market movement — 391 inputs in total, before the race is called.
The output is a probability and a fair price for every runner, refreshed as the market moves. The runners worth your attention are the ones where our estimate sits materially above what the market is paying.
See what the model makes of Moonee Valley today
Ratings and flagged races for every Moonee Valley event today. Free, no card.
