AEST
Model ratings

Horse racing model ratings with probability context.

FormRace turns Australian thoroughbred form, market data, and runner context into model ratings that show relative strength, fair odds, and live signal quality in one race-day workflow.

Free account, no card. AU thoroughbred flat racing only.

Inputs
391 features
Form, market, barrier, weight, class, track, and rider signals.
Method
XGBoost + MC
Gradient boosting with Monte Carlo confidence checks.
Workflow
Ratings + odds
Model score, fair odds, and live market context together.

What you get that a form guide will not give you

  • Rank every runner by model signal instead of relying on raw market order.
  • Compare model probability with live odds to understand fair price context.
  • Use ratings beside form, barriers, jockey-trainer data, and market movement.
How people actually use it
  1. Open the live board and see which races carry real pressure, not just short prices.
  2. Read the model rank, the fair price and the market move together — the disagreement is the signal.
  3. Upgrade when the free view stops being enough, not before.

Every runner is scored on 391 inputs, and every favourite runs 4 false-favourite checks.

What model ratings show

Model ratings summarise how the FormRace machine-learning pipeline scores each runner after analysing form, race setup, track conditions, and market context.

Why probability matters

A ranking is useful, but probability and fair odds are what make the rating actionable. FormRace keeps those numbers visible so users can judge whether the market price is attractive or too short.

How to use the page

Start with the model board, compare the top signals with the live market, then read the race context before making your own decision.

Questions people ask before signing up

What is Horse racing model ratings with probability context?

FormRace turns Australian thoroughbred form, market data, and runner context into model ratings that show relative strength, fair odds, and live signal quality in one race-day workflow.

How should I use FormRace race intelligence?

Use FormRace as a structured research layer: compare model ratings, fair odds, market movement, and race context before making your own assessment.

Is FormRace limited to Australian thoroughbred racing?

Yes. FormRace is built for Australian thoroughbred flat racing and focuses on race analysis, market intelligence, model ratings, and daily race briefings.

See model ratings on today’s racecards.

Create a free account to explore the live board and decide whether Pro depth is useful for your racing workflow.

Every intent landing page should push visitors into signup with source context attached.